1. \u30c9\u30fc\u30d1\u30df\u30f3\u30c8\u30e9\u30c3\u30d7: \u6b63\u78ba\u306a\u4fe1\u53f7\u304c\u640d\u5931\u306b\u3064\u306a\u304c\u308b\u306e\u306f\u306a\u305c\u3067\u3059\u304b?<\/p>\n
\u795e\u7d4c\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u5206\u91ce\u3067\u306f\u3001\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u306e\u640d\u5931\u306f\u591a\u304f\u306e\u5834\u5408\u3001\u30c6\u30af\u30cb\u30ab\u30eb\u5206\u6790\u80fd\u529b\u306e\u6b20\u5982\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u300c\u6b63\u3057\u304f\u4e88\u6e2c\u3059\u308b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u884c\u52d5\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u8133\u306e\u5831\u916c\u7cfb\u306e\u75c5\u7406\u5b66\u7684\u6b32\u6c42\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002\u4e88\u6e2c\u304c\u5f53\u305f\u3063\u305f\u305f\u3081\u306b\u8133\u304c\u30c9\u30fc\u30d1\u30df\u30f3\u3092\u653e\u51fa\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u300c\u6ce8\u6587\u3059\u308b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u884c\u70ba\u3092\u300c\u640d\u76ca\u7387\u300d\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u300c\u5feb\u697d\u300d\u3068\u76f4\u63a5\u7d50\u3073\u3064\u3051\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8aa4\u3063\u305f\u795e\u7d4c\u63a5\u7d9a\u304c\u78ba\u7acb\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u4ed5\u7d44\u307f\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u306e\u53d6\u5f15\u3067\u306f\u77ac\u9593\u7684\u306a\u6e80\u8db3\u611f\u3092\u518d\u73fe\u3057\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3057\u3066\u53d6\u5f15\u983b\u5ea6\u3092\u904e\u5270\u306b\u8ffd\u6c42\u3057\u3001\u6700\u7d42\u7684\u306b\u306f\u300c\u904e\u5270\u53d6\u5f15\u300d\u306e\u6ce5\u6cbc\u306b\u306f\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n
\u672c\u5f53\u306e\u753b\u671f\u7684\u306a\u70b9\u306f\u3001\u300c\u76f4\u611f\u306b\u53cd\u3059\u308b\u300d\u9045\u5ef6\u6e80\u8db3\u30e1\u30ab\u30cb\u30ba\u30e0\u3092\u78ba\u7acb\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6241\u6843\u4f53\u306e\u885d\u52d5\u3092\u6291\u5236\u3057\u3001\u300c\u81ea\u5206\u306f\u6b63\u3057\u3044\u65b9\u5411\u3092\u898b\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u300d\u304b\u3089\u300c\u81ea\u5206\u306e\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u304c\u30eb\u30fc\u30eb\u306b\u6e96\u62e0\u3057\u305f\u4fe1\u53f7\u3092\u767a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u300d\u306b\u7126\u70b9\u3092\u79fb\u3059\u3088\u3046\u306b\u524d\u982d\u524d\u76ae\u8cea\u3092\u8a13\u7df4\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u512a\u79c0\u306a\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u306f\u300c\u5f85\u3064\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30d7\u30ed\u30bb\u30b9\u306e\u697d\u3057\u307f\u65b9\u3092\u77e5\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f7c\u3089\u306f\u30b9\u30ca\u30a4\u30d1\u30fc\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u30b8\u30e3\u30f3\u30b0\u30eb\u306b\u6f5c\u307f\u3001\u9ad8\u78ba\u7387\u3067\u547d\u4e2d\u3059\u308b\u5f3e\u4e38\u3068\u5f15\u304d\u63db\u3048\u306b\u3001\u4e00\u822c\u4eba\u306e\u8010\u3048\u96e3\u3044\u9000\u5c48\u306b\u8010\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u4eba\u9593\u306e\u6027\u8cea\u3092\u514b\u670d\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u307e\u305a\u7b2c\u4e00\u306b\u3001\u3059\u3050\u306b\u30d5\u30a3\u30fc\u30c9\u30d0\u30c3\u30af\u3092\u6c42\u3081\u308b\u8133\u306e\u8caa\u6b32\u306a\u8981\u6c42\u3092\u514b\u670d\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n
2. \u640d\u5931\u56de\u907f\u3068\u57cb\u6ca1\u8cbb\u7528: \u640d\u5931\u3092\u5207\u308a\u6368\u3066\u308b\u6280\u8853<\/p>\n
\u884c\u52d5\u30d5\u30a1\u30a4\u30ca\u30f3\u30b9\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u300c\u640d\u5931\u56de\u907f\u300d\u52b9\u679c\u306f\u3001\u640d\u5931\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u5f15\u304d\u8d77\u3053\u3055\u308c\u308b\u82e6\u75db\u304c\u3001\u540c\u3058\u5229\u76ca\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u3082\u305f\u3089\u3055\u308c\u308b\u559c\u3073\u306e2.5\u500d\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6570\u3048\u5207\u308c\u306a\u3044\u307b\u3069\u306e\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u304c\u3001\u5909\u52d5\u640d\u5931\u306b\u76f4\u9762\u3057\u305f\u3068\u304d\u306f\u6211\u6162\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u9078\u629e\u3059\u308b\u304c\u3001\u5909\u52d5\u5229\u76ca\u306b\u76f4\u9762\u3057\u305f\u3068\u304d\u306b\u306f\u5b89\u5168\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306b\u6c7a\u6e08\u3057\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3059\u308b\u306e\u306f\u307e\u3055\u306b\u3053\u308c\u304c\u7406\u7531\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u5fc3\u7406\u30e1\u30ab\u30cb\u30ba\u30e0\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u9078\u597d\u304c\u6b6a\u3081\u3089\u308c\u3001\u76f8\u5834\u5909\u52d5\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u975e\u5408\u7406\u7684\u306a\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3092\u3057\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3044\u3001\u5c0f\u3055\u306a\u640d\u5931\u304c\u5927\u304d\u306a\u640d\u5931\u306b\u5909\u308f\u308a\u3001\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u308b\u306f\u305a\u306e\u5229\u76ca\u304c\u591c\u660e\u3051\u524d\u306b\u6d88\u3048\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u3001\u53e3\u5ea7\u8cc7\u672c\u306e\u5897\u5927\u3092\u59a8\u3052\u308b\u8a8d\u77e5\u7684\u4e0d\u5354\u548c\u306e\u5178\u578b\u7684\u306a\u5f62\u614b\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3053\u306e\u30b8\u30ec\u30f3\u30de\u3092\u89e3\u6c7a\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u300c\u53cd\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u300d\u306e\u8003\u3048\u65b9\u3092\u5c0e\u5165\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30ca\u30b7\u30e0\u30fb\u30bf\u30ec\u30d6\u6c0f\u306f\u3001\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u306f\u30b7\u30e7\u30c3\u30af\u304b\u3089\u6069\u6075\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u308b\u306f\u305a\u3060\u3068\u4e3b\u5f35\u3057\u305f\u3002\u53d6\u5f15\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u3067\u306f\u3001\u5404\u30b9\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u30ed\u30b9\u306f\u5931\u6557\u3068\u307f\u306a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3079\u304d\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u300c\u4fdd\u967a\u30d7\u30ec\u30df\u30a2\u30e0\u300d\u3001\u3064\u307e\u308a\u5e02\u5834\u30b2\u30fc\u30e0\u306b\u53c2\u52a0\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u652f\u6255\u3046\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u30b3\u30b9\u30c8\u3068\u3057\u3066\u5b9a\u7fa9\u3055\u308c\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6a5f\u68b0\u5316\u3055\u308c\u305f\u30b9\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u30ed\u30b9\u30eb\u30fc\u30eb\u3092\u78ba\u7acb\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u611f\u60c5\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u306b\u610f\u601d\u6c7a\u5b9a\u6a29\u9650\u3092\u59d4\u8b72\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u6df7\u6c8c\u3068\u3057\u305f\u5e02\u5834\u5909\u52d5\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u5fc3\u7406\u7684\u306a\u30d5\u30a1\u30a4\u30a2\u30a6\u30a9\u30fc\u30eb\u3092\u78ba\u7acb\u3057\u3001\u3042\u3089\u3086\u308b\u30ea\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30b9\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u304c\u5236\u5fa1\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u7ba1\u7406\u7bc4\u56f2\u5185\u306b\u53ce\u307e\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n
3. \u751f\u5b58\u8005\u30d0\u30a4\u30a2\u30b9\u3068\u5e30\u5c5e\u30a8\u30e9\u30fc: \u6b63\u306e\u671f\u5f85\u5024\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u306e\u69cb\u7bc9<\/p>\n
\u30dc\u30c8\u30eb\u30cd\u30c3\u30af\u671f\u9593\u306b\u3042\u308b\u591a\u304f\u306e\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u306f\u3001\u3057\u3070\u3057\u3070\u300c\u5e30\u5c5e\u8aa4\u308a\u300d\u3092\u72af\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\u5358\u4e00\u306e\u53d6\u5f15\u306e\u5229\u76ca\u3092\u81ea\u5206\u306e\u6280\u8853\u529b\u306e\u305b\u3044\u306b\u3057\u3001\u640d\u5931\u3092\u5916\u90e8\u306e\u30ce\u30a4\u30ba\u3084\u4e0d\u904b\u306e\u305b\u3044\u3060\u3068\u8003\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u5fc3\u7406\u7684\u9632\u5fa1\u30e1\u30ab\u30cb\u30ba\u30e0\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u5ba2\u89b3\u7684\u306a\u30ec\u30d3\u30e5\u30fc\u304c\u59a8\u3052\u3089\u308c\u3001\u9593\u9055\u3063\u305f\u8ad6\u7406\u3092\u7e70\u308a\u8fd4\u3057\u7d9a\u3051\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306a\u52dd\u6557\u306f\u6975\u3081\u3066\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u8a8d\u8b58\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u306a\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u306e\u7d71\u8a08\u3092\u901a\u3058\u3066\u306e\u307f\u3001\u6226\u7565\u306e EDGE (\u5229\u70b9) \u304c\u5b58\u5728\u3059\u308b\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u3092\u691c\u8a3c\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002\u8ff7\u4fe1\u7684\u306a\u8a34\u8a1f\u306e\u6210\u529f\u306f\u7834\u7523\u3078\u306e\u8fd1\u9053\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n
\u300c\u53cd\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u300d\u3092\u6301\u3064\u305f\u3081\u306b\u306f\u3001\u30d7\u30e9\u30b9\u306e\u671f\u5f85\u5024\u3092\u6301\u3064\u53d6\u5f15\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u3092\u69cb\u7bc9\u3057\u3001\u6570\u5b66\u306e\u6cd5\u5247\u3092\u7d76\u5bfe\u7684\u306b\u4fe1\u983c\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30e0\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3069\u308c\u307b\u3069\u697d\u89b3\u7684\u3067\u3042\u3063\u3066\u3082\u3001\u4e8b\u524d\u306b\u8a2d\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u305f\u30a8\u30f3\u30c8\u30ea\u30fc\u30c8\u30ea\u30ac\u30fc\u304c\u30c8\u30ea\u30ac\u30fc\u3055\u308c\u306a\u3044\u9650\u308a\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u53c2\u5165\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3067\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u305d\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306b\u306f\u3001\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u898f\u5f8b\u6b63\u3057\u304f\u3001\u6a5f\u68b0\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8a08\u753b\u3092\u5b9f\u884c\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u611f\u60c5\u306e\u5e72\u6e09\u3092\u53d6\u308a\u9664\u304d\u3001\u7d14\u7c8b\u306b\u78ba\u7387\u3068\u78ba\u7387\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u3044\u3066\u884c\u52d5\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u4eba\u9593\u306e\u672c\u6027\u306e\u5f31\u70b9\u306b\u56da\u308f\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u306a\u304f\u306a\u308a\u3001\u4eba\u9593\u306e\u672c\u6027\u306e\u5f31\u70b9\u3092\u5229\u7528\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u611f\u60c5\u7684\u306a\u6575\u5bfe\u8005\u306b\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u3092\u63d0\u4f9b\u3057\u3066\u3082\u3089\u3044\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u8907\u5229\u306e\u6210\u9577\u3092\u9054\u6210\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n
4. \u30d6\u30e9\u30c3\u30af\u30b9\u30ef\u30f3\u3068\u30d5\u30a1\u30c3\u30c8\u30c6\u30fc\u30eb\u52b9\u679c: \u30b9\u30c8\u30ec\u30b9\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u4e0b\u3067\u306e\u751f\u5b58\u306e\u54f2\u5b66<\/p>\n
\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u6b63\u898f\u5206\u5e03\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u300c\u30d5\u30a1\u30c3\u30c8\u30c6\u30fc\u30eb\u300d\u306e\u7279\u5fb4\u306b\u6e80\u3061\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\u6975\u7aef\u306a\u5e02\u5834\u72b6\u6cc1\u304c\u767a\u751f\u3059\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u306f\u3001\u6a19\u6e96\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3067\u4e88\u6e2c\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3088\u308a\u3082\u306f\u308b\u304b\u306b\u9ad8\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002 Most traders' systems perform well in bull markets or volatile markets, but are instantly wiped out when encountering a black swan event. This exposes the fragility of their underlying logic: they optimize for profitability, not survivability. The real strong man is not the one who predicts the storm, but the one who builds the ark that can stand firm in the storm.<\/p>\n
\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3001\u30dd\u30b8\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u7ba1\u7406 (POSITION SIZING) \u306f\u3001\u3059\u3079\u3066\u306e\u5fc3\u7406\u30b2\u30fc\u30e0\u306e\u6700\u7d42\u6bb5\u968e\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3069\u3093\u306a\u306b\u52dd\u7387\u304c\u9ad8\u304f\u3066\u3082\u3001\u5012\u7523\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u304c\u3042\u308b\u9650\u308a\u3001\u3059\u3079\u3066\u306f\u30bc\u30ed\u306b\u623b\u3063\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5404\u53d6\u5f15\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u30ad\u30e3\u30d4\u30bf\u30eb\u3092\u7ba1\u7406\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u300c\u30b1\u30ea\u30fc\u5f0f\u300d\u307e\u305f\u306f\u3088\u308a\u4fdd\u5b88\u7684\u306a\u56fa\u5b9a\u5206\u6570\u6cd5\u3092\u4f7f\u7528\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5358\u4e00\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u306e\u30a8\u30af\u30b9\u30dd\u30fc\u30b8\u30e3\u3092\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u4f4e\u3044\u30ec\u30d9\u30eb (1% \uff5e 2% \u306a\u3069) \u306b\u4fdd\u3064\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u30a2\u30ab\u30a6\u30f3\u30c8\u306b\u6975\u5ea6\u306e\u56de\u5fa9\u529b\u304c\u4e0e\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u6226\u7565\u3067\u306f\u3001\u9023\u7d9a\u3057\u3066\u8907\u6570\u306e\u9006\u30b7\u30e7\u30c3\u30af\u306b\u906d\u9047\u3057\u305f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3082\u3001\u30dd\u30fc\u30ab\u30fc \u30c6\u30fc\u30d6\u30eb\u3067\u30ab\u30e0\u30d0\u30c3\u30af\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u3092\u4fdd\u6301\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u3001\u300c\u53cd\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u300d\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u6700\u3082\u5f37\u56fa\u306a\u5800\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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