{"id":8142,"date":"2025-12-25T09:27:52","date_gmt":"2025-12-25T01:27:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/?p=8142"},"modified":"2025-12-25T09:27:57","modified_gmt":"2025-12-25T01:27:57","slug":"%e5%b9%b4%e6%9c%ab%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e9%87%8d%e4%bc%b0%e9%81%bf%e9%99%a9%e8%b5%84%e4%ba%a7%e9%85%8d%e7%bd%ae%e9%80%bb%e8%be%91","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/ko\/\uc544\uce74\uc774\ube0c\/8142","title":{"rendered":"\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ubc30\ubd84 \ub17c\ub9ac\uc758 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>2025\ub144 12\uc6d4\uc744 \uae30\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uacb0\uc815 \ub85c\uc9c1\uc774 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc870\uc815\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ub0a0\ub9c8\ub2e4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ube44\uad6d\uac00 \uc2e0\uc6a9 \uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c\uc11c\uc758 \uae08\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uac00\uce58\ub294 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \uadf8 \ucd94\uc9c4 \uc694\uc778\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \ud5e4\uc9d5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uc7a5\uae30 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc758 \uc9c4\ud654\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \ubd84\uba85\ud558\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. Wmax \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uad00\ucc30\ud300\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uacf5\uac1c\ub41c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640 \uc815\ucc45 \uc2dc\uadf8\ub110\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uacf5\uac10\ub300\uc640 \ubd88\uc77c\uce58\uc810\uc744 \uc815\ub9ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uae08\ub9e4\uc785 \uc815\uc0c1\ud654 \ub2e8\uacc4 \uc9c4\uc785<\/p>\n<p>\uc138\uacc4\uae08\ud611\uc758\ud68c(WGC)\uac00 12\uc6d4 10\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, 2025\ub144 3\ubd84\uae30 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc785\ub7c9\uc740 290\ud1a4\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud588\uace0, 1~3\ubd84\uae30 \ucd1d\ub7c9\uc740 850\ud1a4\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\ub2e4. 2023~2024\ub144 \uace0\uc810\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ub2e4\uc18c \ub0ae\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub192\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d, \uc778\ub3c4, \ud130\ud0a4, \uc911\ub3d9 \uad6d\uac00\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694 \uad6c\ub9e4\uc790\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uae08 \ub9e4\uc785\uc740 \uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 '\uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561 \ub2e4\ubcc0\ud654'\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uacb0\uc81c \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd94\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uc870\uc815\uc5d0 \uac00\uae5d\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \uacf5\uc2dd \uc131\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9ce\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc740 \"\uc608\ube44 \uc790\uc0b0\uc758 \ubcf4\uc548 \uac15\ud654\"\uc640 \"\uc9c0\ub9ac\uc801 \uae08\uc735 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub300\uc751\"\uc744 \ubd84\uba85\ud788 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uae08\uc774 \"\uc218\ub3d9\uc801 \ubcf4\uc720\"\uc5d0\uc11c \"\ub2a5\ub3d9\uc801 \uace0\uc815\" \uc5ed\ud560\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc740 \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\uace0 \ub290\uc2a8\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1<\/p>\n<p>\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 12\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc810 \ub3c4\ud45c\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 2026\ub144 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc911\uac04 \uae30\ub300\uce58\uac00 2.25bp\ub85c 9\uc6d4 \uc608\uce21\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801\uc784\uc744 \uc54c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc5d0\uc11c \"\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc9c4\uc804\uc744 \uc774\ub8e8\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud558\ub824\uba74 \ub354 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc99d\uac70\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\"\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 11\uc6d4 \ud575\uc2ec PCE\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44 2.7% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 5\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc544\uc9c1 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc2dc\uc791\ub418\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc774\uc790\uc728(10\ub144 TIPS \uc218\uc775\ub960)\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \uace0\uc810 \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 40bp \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \ubb34\uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \uacbd\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uae08\uc740 \uc885\uc885 \"\uc774\uc790\uc728 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \uc0c1\uc2b9 - \uccab \ubc88\uc9f8 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2e4\ud589\" \ub2e8\uacc4\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uc7a5 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc131\ub2a5\uc744 \ubc1c\ud718\ud558\uba70 \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774 \ucc3d\uc758 \ucd08\uae30 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc5d0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1266\" height=\"842\" class=\"wp-image-8144\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/unnamed-file-82.jpeg\" alt=\"\u5728\u62bd\u8c61\u6a21\u7cca\u56fe\u7247\u4e0a\u663e\u793a\u4ea4\u6613\u56fe\uff0c\u4e1a\u52a1\u56fe\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u671f\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u76d1\u6d4b\uff0c\u5e94\u7528\u7a0b\u5e8f\u754c\u9762\u662f\u4ea4\u6613\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u8d27\u5e01\u3002\u80a1\u7968\u7ecf\u7eaa\u4eba\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u3002\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/unnamed-file-82.jpeg 1266w, https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/unnamed-file-82-300x200.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/unnamed-file-82-1024x681.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/unnamed-file-82-768x511.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/unnamed-file-82-18x12.jpeg 18w, https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/unnamed-file-82-900x599.jpeg 900w, https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/unnamed-file-82-600x399.jpeg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1266px) 100vw, 1266px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\uc9c0\ub9ac\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 \uad6c\uc870\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9<\/p>\n<p>\ud64d\ud574 \ud574\uc0c1 \uc6b4\uc1a1 \uc911\ub2e8, \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uc640 \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098 \uac04 \uac08\ub4f1 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654, \ub300\ub9cc \ud574\ud611\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ud669 \ub4f1\uc758 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \ubcf4\uc548\uacfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc6b4\uc1a1 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uad50\ub780\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ube44\ub85d \ud3ec\uad04\uc801\uc778 \uc704\uae30\ub97c \ucd09\ubc1c\ud558\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc '\uc800\uac15\ub3c4, \uc7a5\uae30\uc801' \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9c8\ucc30\uc774 \ub274\ub178\uba40\uc774 \ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\uc5d0 \uae30\uad00\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \ud14c\uc77c\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ud5e4\uc9d5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc694\uad6c\uac00 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. CFTC \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 12\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c \ud604\uc7ac COMEX \uae08 \ube44\uc0c1\uc5c5\uc801 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 10\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \ub300\ube44 35% \uc774\uc0c1 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc73c\uba70 ETF \ud380\ub4dc\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc720\ucd9c \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc804\ubb38 \ud380\ub4dc\uac00 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \uc911\uc2ec \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc218\ud589\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc7a5\uae30 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ubc29\uc5b4 \ud560\ub2f9\uc5d0 \uae08\uc744 \ud1b5\ud569\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub2e4\uc774\ubc84\uc804\uc2a4: \uc5f0\ucc29\ub959 vs \uc2e0\uc6a9 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00<\/p>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \uc8fc\uc694 \uc758\uacac \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub099\uad00\ub860\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\uace0 \uc18c\ube44 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub825\uc774 \ub6f0\uc5b4\ub098\uba70 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 '\ubb34\ucc29\ub959' \ub610\ub294 \uc628\uac74\ud55c \uc5f0\ucc29\ub959\uc744 \ub2ec\uc131\ud558\uc5ec \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uce21\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc801\uc790\uc728\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d\ud574\uc11c 8%\ub97c \ub118\uace0, \ubd80\ucc44\/GDP\uac00 130%\uc5d0 \uc721\ubc15\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ud0c8\ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc2e0\uc6a9 \uae30\ubc18\uc774 \uad6c\uc870\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc804\uc790\uac00 \uc6b0\uc138\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae08\uc740 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud6c4\uc790\uc758 \ub17c\ub9ac\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uba74 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9 \uc911\uc2ec\uc774 \uccb4\uacc4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac08 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc77c\ubc29\uc801\uc778 \ubc30\ud305\uc774 \uc544\ub2cc \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c '\ud655\ub960 \uac00\uc911\uce58'\ub97c \uc2dc\ud589\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uacb0\ub860: \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uac8c\uc784\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ub17c\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c4\ud654\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\ub77c<\/p>\n<p>\uc5f0\ub9d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \uacc4\uc808\uc131, \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ub9ac\ubc38\ub7f0\uc2f1, \uc815\ucc45 \ucc3d\uad6c \uae30\uac04 \ub4f1\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc544 \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud3ed\uc774 \uc99d\ud3ed\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. Wmax Market Watch\ub294 \uc0ac\uc6a9\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \ub2e4\uc74c \uc138 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc2e0\ud638\uc5d0 \uc8fc\uc758\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uad8c\uc7a5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9 \ubc0f \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ub454\ud654\ub97c \uacc4\uc18d\ud560 \uac83\uc778\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80; \uc8fc\uc694 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(\ud2b9\ud788 \uc2e0\ud765\uc2dc\uc7a5)\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uae08 \ub9e4\uc785 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc778\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80; \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uac08\ub4f1\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uac70\ub098 \uc644\ud654\ub418\ub294 \ubcc0\uace1\uc810\uc774 \uc788\uc744\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80.<\/p>\n<p>\uc9c4\uc815\ud55c \uae30\ud68c\ub294 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \ucad3\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9 \ub4a4\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294 \uc2e0\ub8b0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc870\uc815 \uba54\ucee4\ub2c8\uc998\uc744 \uc774\ud574\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2025\ub144 12\uc6d4, \uc138\uacc4 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae08\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uac00\uce58 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uae08 \uad6c\ub9e4\uc758 \uc815\uc0c1\ud654, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300, \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ub17c\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c4\ud654\ub97c \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 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