{"id":10940,"date":"2026-08-13T17:31:05","date_gmt":"2026-08-13T09:31:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/?p=10940"},"modified":"2026-08-13T17:31:12","modified_gmt":"2026-08-13T09:31:12","slug":"%e5%bd%93%e5%ae%9a%e4%bb%b7%e6%a1%86%e6%9e%b6%e8%a2%ab%e9%87%8d%e5%a1%91%ef%bc%8c%e4%ba%a4%e6%98%93%e8%80%85%e8%af%a5%e5%a6%82%e4%bd%95%e7%90%86%e8%a7%a3%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/luu-tru\/10940","title":{"rendered":"Khi khung gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh l\u1ea1i, nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch n\u00ean hi\u1ec3u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2026 \u0111ang tr\u1ea3i qua m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c th\u1eed th\u00e1ch c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng s\u00e2u s\u1eafc. N\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh s\u00e2u sau khi ch\u1ea1m m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c; V\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 8, n\u00f3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd d\u01b0\u1edbi s\u1ef1 c\u1ed9ng h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1, v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf t\u0103ng t\u1edbi 7,28% ch\u1ec9 trong m\u1ed9t tu\u1ea7n, m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t trong s\u00e1u th\u00e1ng qua. \u0110\u1eb1ng sau nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 d\u1eef d\u1ed9i l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh l\u1ea1i c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n logic \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng. Hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh l\u1ea1i n\u00e0y l\u00e0 ch\u00eca kh\u00f3a \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec3u bi\u1ebft h\u1ee3p l\u00fd v\u1ec1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n<p>1. X\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng l\u1ea1i khung \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1: t\u1eeb l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng USD<\/p>\n<p>Trong khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch v\u00e0ng truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan ngh\u1ecbch chi\u1ec1u d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3. Tuy nhi\u00ean, khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 n\u00e0y \u0111ang b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1. Sun Fukun, ph\u00f3 t\u1ed5ng gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a Huayuan Futures, ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng sau cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t Nga-Ukraine n\u0103m 2022, c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00f3ng b\u0103ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Nga v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 an to\u00e0n c\u1ee7a t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9. Logic mua v\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb thu nh\u1eadp \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 sang an to\u00e0n d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef. \u1ea2nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a h\u00e0nh vi mua v\u00e0ng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1ee9ng \u201cgi\u00e1 c\u00e0ng th\u1ea5p, n\u1eafm gi\u1eef c\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u\u201d \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng.<\/p>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n dao \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n quanh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t USD m\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ea7n tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh v\u1ecb th\u1ebf ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u01b0\u1edbi s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Ngay c\u1ea3 khi m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c, vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng n\u1eafm gi\u1eef chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh phi \u0111\u00f4 la h\u00f3a v\u1eabn s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd cho gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng. Khung gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng l\u1ea1i - c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang, truy\u1ec1n t\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, vi\u1ec7c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c mua v\u00e0ng v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng c\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n \u0111an xen. M\u1ecf neo \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c sang nhi\u1ec1u logic nh\u01b0 ph\u00f2ng ng\u1eeba r\u1ee7i ro t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 phi \u0111\u00f4 la h\u00f3a. B\u00e1o c\u00e1o nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u1ee7a Shenwan Futures c\u0169ng ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ea7n tr\u1edf n\u00ean th\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ed9ng, v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ecf neo \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p>2. Con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang: tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng<\/p>\n<p>K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Fed l\u00e0 bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng. V\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 7, cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp FOMC c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i, nh\u01b0ng ba quan ch\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u00e0 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2016 c\u00f3 ba \u00fd ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ed x\u1ea3y ra.<\/p>\n<p>B\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u1eb7t th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 7 th\u00e1ng 8 - b\u1ea3ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng phi n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 gi\u1ea3m 23.000 trong th\u00e1ng 7, m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 2, trong khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng 80.000. S\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch t\u1eeb t\u0103ng sang gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a d\u1eef li\u1ec7u phi n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Fed m\u00e0 c\u00f2n l\u00e0m t\u0103ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u CPI th\u00e1ng 7 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 sau \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u00f4i ch\u00fat, t\u0103ng 3,4% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 so v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb 3,5% tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea9y v\u00e0ng duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng gi\u1ea3m kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giao d\u1ecbch c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \"duy tr\u00ec l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao l\u00e2u h\u01a1n\" c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang v\u1ec1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn \u0111ang trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u00ean ch\u00fa \u00fd \u0111\u1ebfn ba bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i l\u00e0 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang.<\/p>\n<p>3. \u0110\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb: T\u1eeb \u201cnh\u1ecbp s\u1ee3 r\u1ee7i ro\u201d \u0111\u1ebfn \u201cc\u00e1c bi\u1ebfn c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac\u201d<\/p>\n<p>R\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00e1c c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng. K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2026, t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng - xung \u0111\u1ed9t gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran xoay quanh vi\u1ec7c \u0111i qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, n\u01a1i c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u00e2u s\u1eafc \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 cung c\u1ea5p n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd l\u00e0 con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng truy\u1ec1n t\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb sang v\u00e0ng \u0111ang thay \u0111\u1ed5i. Chu\u1ed7i truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng l\u00e0 \"xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ecba l\u00fd l\u00e0m t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u - \u0111\u1ea9y k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u00ean - c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t - k\u00ecm h\u00e3m gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng.\" Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi v\u00e0ng. V\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 7, t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran l\u1ea1i tr\u1edf n\u00ean c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng nh\u01b0ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng kh\u00f4ng k\u00ecm h\u00e3m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng. V\u00e0ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 \u201cv\u00f4 c\u1ea3m\u201d v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u - \u0111\u00e2y c\u0169ng l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng cho s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng. Trong trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi d\u00f2ng ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng l\u00e0 ph\u00f2ng ng\u1eeba r\u1ee7i ro t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n<p>Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi nhu c\u1ea7u tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c mua v\u00e0ng. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean x\u1ea3y ra, v\u00e0ng d\u1ea7n tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh v\u1ecb tr\u00ed \u0111\u00e1y m\u1edbi trong k\u1ef7 nguy\u00ean \u0111a c\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n<p>4. Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng mua v\u00e0ng: T\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u<\/p>\n<p>H\u00e0nh vi mua v\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y. Theo s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u t\u1eeb H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng V\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, t\u1ed5ng nhu c\u1ea7u v\u00e0ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2026 l\u00e0 2.522 t\u1ea5n, v\u1edbi nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 380 t\u1ef7 USD. Trong qu\u00fd 2, c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 mua r\u00f2ng 289 t\u1ea5n v\u00e0ng, t\u0103ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi 57 t\u1ea5n trong qu\u00fd 1, t\u0103ng 62% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i v\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c trong qu\u00fd 2.<\/p>\n<p>H\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd. T\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 7 n\u0103m 2026, d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef v\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ea1t 76,08 tri\u1ec7u ounce (kho\u1ea3ng 2366,35 t\u1ea5n), v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng 640.000 ounce (kho\u1ea3ng 19,91 t\u1ea5n) trong th\u00e1ng \u0111\u00f3, \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u th\u00e1ng th\u1ee9 21 li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0ng n\u1eafm gi\u1eef t\u0103ng l\u00ean. Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u l\u1ea1i vi\u1ec7c mua v\u00e0ng l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean sau 13 n\u0103m. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u t\u1ea1i Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Standard Chartered cho bi\u1ebft nhu c\u1ea7u mua v\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng, s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u00f3a ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n v\u1eabn c\u00f2n m\u1ea1nh. \"Bi\u1ebfn ch\u1eadm\" vi\u1ec7c mua v\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng l\u00ean trung t\u00e2m.<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1700\" height=\"1126\" class=\"wp-image-10942\" src=\"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/17-2.png\" alt=\"\u56fe\u724717\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/17-2.png 1700w, https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/17-2-300x199.png 300w, https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/17-2-1024x678.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/17-2-768x509.png 768w, https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/17-2-1536x1017.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/17-2-18x12.png 18w, https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/17-2-900x596.png 900w, https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/17-2-600x397.png 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1700px) 100vw, 1700px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>5. B\u1ea1c: S\u1ef1 c\u1ed9ng h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a thu\u1ed9c t\u00ednh k\u00e9p<\/p>\n<p>So v\u1edbi v\u00e0ng, b\u1ea1c \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt h\u01a1n trong \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i n\u00e0y. B\u1ea1c c\u00f3 c\u1ea3 \u0111\u1eb7c t\u00ednh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 n\u01a1i tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n. \u0110\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, nhu c\u1ea7u c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p b\u1ea1c v\u1ec1 quang \u0111i\u1ec7n, n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1edbi v\u00e0 c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 th\u00eam cho gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3. Do t\u00ednh d\u1eabn \u0111i\u1ec7n v\u00e0 t\u00ednh \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 thay th\u1ebf, b\u1ea1c \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh v\u1eadt li\u1ec7u ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecf qua trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng xanh. Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i B\u1ea1c Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea1c s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u n\u0103m th\u1ee9 s\u00e1u li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2026.<\/p>\n<p>\"Thu\u1ed9c t\u00ednh k\u00e9p\" c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ed9 co gi\u00e3n theo gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 th\u01b0\u1eddng cao h\u01a1n v\u00e0ng - n\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi c\u1ea3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u1eadt ch\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n<p>6. S\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng: r\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c<\/p>\n<p>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0ng n\u0103m 2026 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng d\u1ec5 n\u1eafm b\u1eaft Cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay, t\u1ef7 su\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng n\u0103m nay \u0111\u00e3 g\u1ea7n b\u1eb1ng 0, nh\u01b0ng m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng l\u0169y \u200b\u200bk\u1ebf trong n\u0103m qua v\u1eabn l\u00e0 h\u01a1n 1.000 \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9. M\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t v\u1edbi 16 nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p do Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng V\u00e0ng th\u1ecfi London th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7 cho th\u1ea5y d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2026 n\u1eb1m trong kho\u1ea3ng t\u1eeb 3.879 USD \u0111\u1ebfn 5.100 USD; m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau bi quan nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n l\u00e0 3.450 USD\/ounce v\u00e0 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u1ea1c quan nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 7.150 USD\/ounce.<\/p>\n<p>S\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 \u201cph\u00e2n m\u1ea3nh\u201d c\u1ee7a logic \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng - logic ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n \u0111ang k\u00e9o theo c\u00e1c h\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u01b0\u1ee3c nhau theo t\u1eebng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n, khu\u1ebfch \u0111\u1ea1i c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1. Nh\u1eefng ti\u1ebfng n\u00f3i \"l\u1ea1c quan\" nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ed ban \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u kh\u00e1c nhau, v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 gi\u00e1 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p>7. T\u1eeb nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n giao d\u1ecbch<\/p>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c hi\u1ec3u khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u1edf tr\u00ean l\u00e0 n\u00f3 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201ct\u1ea1i sao gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i di chuy\u1ec3n\u201d thay v\u00ec \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u mua v\u00e0 b\u00e1n ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ecfng v\u1ea5n nh\u00ecn chung tin r\u1eb1ng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh dao \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u00e0 b\u1ea1c trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 t\u0103ng trong trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i. Khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1edf M\u1ef9 gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n, c\u00e1c ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c suy y\u1ebfu, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 \u00edt kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng l\u00ean v\u00e0 qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh phi \u0111\u00f4 la h\u00f3a to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ti\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n, \"th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1\" v\u00e0ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c.<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u00e0 m\u00f4i gi\u1edbi Wmax cung c\u1ea5p cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd c\u00e1c k\u00eanh giao d\u1ecbch CFD bao g\u1ed3m v\u00e0ng, b\u1ea1c v\u00e0 c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i kh\u00e1c. Th\u00f4ng qua thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea7u cu\u1ed1i giao d\u1ecbch MT5, n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng n\u00e0y cung c\u1ea5p cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00f9ng c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng theo th\u1eddi gian th\u1ef1c, ph\u00e2n t\u00edch bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 nhi\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c ph\u00e1n \u0111o\u00e1n v\u0129 m\u00f4 v\u00e0o c\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3. Ch\u1ee9c n\u0103ng nh\u1eafc nh\u1edf s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n v\u00e0 l\u1ecbch kinh t\u1ebf t\u00edch h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng bao g\u1ed3m c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, gi\u00fap ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00f9ng theo d\u00f5i k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi c\u00e1c bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd.<\/p>\n<p>Ph\u1ea7n k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn<\/p>\n<p>Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd v\u1ec1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ee7a logic v\u0129 m\u00f4 t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3. T\u00edn d\u1ee5ng b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9, ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng mua v\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb - nh\u1eefng l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y c\u00f9ng nhau t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n cho xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u00e0 b\u1ea1c. Hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng logic n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c gi\u00e1, nh\u01b0ng n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>N\u0103m 2026, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 tr\u1ea3i qua m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh s\u00e2u. N\u00f3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd d\u01b0\u1edbi s\u1ef1 c\u1ed9ng h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng mua v\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng trong m\u1ed9t tu\u1ea7n l\u00e0 7,28%, m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t trong s\u00e1u th\u00e1ng qua. Vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, trong khi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u1eafm gi\u1eef, gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00f4 la h\u00f3a v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1ea1c. C\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng trong d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng. Hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong logic \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ec9nh t\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 n\u1eafm b\u1eaft xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng v\u00e0 b\u1ea1c.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10941,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[122],"tags":[1557,246,340],"class_list":["post-10940","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tutorial","tag-1557","tag-246","tag-340"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10940","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10940"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10940\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10943,"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10940\/revisions\/10943"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10941"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10940"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10940"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10940"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}