Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng hi\u1ebfm khi di chuy\u1ec3n m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch c\u00f4 l\u1eadp. Trong th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u0129 m\u00f4, c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i truy\u1ec1n t\u1ea3i t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd: ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c (l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t danh ngh\u0129a tr\u1eeb \u0111i k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t) v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn chi ph\u00ed c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c n\u1eafm gi\u1eef v\u00e0ng; s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u00e0 b\u1ea1c t\u00ednh b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Hi\u1ec3u r\u00f5 chu\u1ed7i n\u00e0y l\u00e0 k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd gi\u1ea3m \"v\u0129 m\u00f4\" th\u00e0nh \"th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng\" - v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng n\u1eb1m \u1edf vi\u1ec7c gi\u00fap b\u1ea1n theo d\u00f5i c\u00e1c bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 trong chu\u1ed7i n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n
1. M\u1eaft x\u00edch \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean trong chu\u1ed7i truy\u1ec1n t\u1ea3i: l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c<\/strong><\/p>\n L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng. Khi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c t\u0103ng, vi\u1ec7c n\u1eafm gi\u1eef v\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng sinh l\u00e3i \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c chi ph\u00ed c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i cao h\u01a1n v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c; khi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m, s\u1ee9c h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng t\u0103ng l\u00ean. \u0110\u1ec3 theo d\u00f5i chu\u1ed7i n\u00e0y, b\u1ea1n c\u1ea7n ch\u00fa \u00fd \u0111\u1ebfn hai \u0111i\u1ec1u: h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u1ee7a l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t danh ngh\u0129a (cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang, k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t) v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t (CPI, PCE v\u00e0 c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kh\u00e1c). C\u00e1c n\u00fat s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u tr\u00ean l\u1ecbch kinh t\u1ebf n\u00e0y l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng \u201c\u0111i\u1ec3m ki\u1ec3m tra\u201d tr\u00ean chu\u1ed7i truy\u1ec1n t\u1ea3i.<\/p>\n 2. M\u1eaft x\u00edch th\u1ee9 hai c\u1ee7a chu\u1ed7i truy\u1ec1n t\u1ea3i: \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9<\/strong><\/p>\n \u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 v\u00e0ng cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan ngh\u1ecbch trong h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n: khi \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111\u1eaft h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i ng\u01b0\u1eddi M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9; khi \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 suy y\u1ebfu th\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 \u0111\u00fang. Nh\u01b0ng kinh nghi\u1ec7m n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00fac n\u00e0o c\u0169ng \u0111\u00fang - khi r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb ho\u1eb7c t\u00e2m l\u00fd e ng\u1ea1i r\u1ee7i ro gia t\u0103ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f9ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1. V\u00ec v\u1eady, ch\u1ec9 nh\u1edb r\u1eb1ng \u201c\u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 v\u00e0ng t\u0103ng\u201d l\u00e0 ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7. \u0110i\u1ec1u quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n l\u00e0 ph\u1ea3i quan s\u00e1t xem m\u1ed1i li\u00ean k\u1ebft gi\u1eefa hai b\u00ean c\u00f3 b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng hay kh\u00f4ng v\u00e0 khi n\u00e0o s\u1ebd c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3.<\/p>\n 3. V\u1ebd chu\u1ed7i tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3<\/strong><\/p>\n Chu\u1ed7i truy\u1ec1n t\u1ea3i c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \"h\u00ecnh dung\" \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb cho vi\u1ec7c theo d\u00f5i. Th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1eb7t v\u00e0ng, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 c\u1ea1nh nhau tr\u00ean c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t giao di\u1ec7n trong thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea7u cu\u1ed1i giao d\u1ecbch; h\u01a1n n\u1eefa, b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o t\u00f9y ch\u1ec9nh \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n m\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan ho\u1eb7c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa hai ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o. Khi c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c \"n\u00f3 n\u00ean t\u0103ng hay n\u00ean gi\u1ea3m?\" - ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 suy y\u1ebfu \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 nh\u01b0ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i - \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 logic \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang thay \u0111\u1ed5i. L\u00fac n\u00e0y, vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ea1y theo l\u1ec7nh d\u1eebng l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i c\u00f2n quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n 4. C\u1eeda s\u1ed5 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n: th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m chu\u1ed7i c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u201cnh\u1ea3y\u201d nh\u1ea5t<\/strong><\/p>\n Tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 sau c\u00e1c n\u00fat ch\u00ednh trong chu\u1ed7i truy\u1ec1n t\u1ea3i (cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o CPI), bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u01b0\u1eddng khu\u1ebfch \u0111\u1ea1i m\u1ea1nh, ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi gi\u00e3n ra v\u00e0 nguy c\u01a1 tr\u01b0\u1ee3t gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng l\u00ean. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch n\u00ean chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb hai lo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n: th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t, v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t t\u00e2m l\u00fd ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn ph\u1ea1m vi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n; th\u1ee9 hai, s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o s\u1edbm v\u00e0 m\u1ec7nh l\u1ec7nh c\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec3 vi\u1ebft k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch v\u00e0o h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ec3 vi\u1ec7c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o c\u1ea3m x\u00fac t\u1ea1i ch\u1ed7. N\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n gi\u1eef c\u00e1c v\u1ecb th\u1ebf v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n ho\u1eb7c k\u1ef3 ngh\u1ec9 l\u1ec5 d\u00e0i, b\u1ea1n c\u0169ng n\u00ean \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc r\u1ee7i ro v\u1ec1 kho\u1ea3ng tr\u1ed1ng gi\u00e1 qua \u0111\u00eam.<\/p>\n 5. Bi\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra v\u0129 m\u00f4 th\u00e0nh th\u00f3i quen h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y<\/strong><\/p>\n Vi\u1ec7c truy t\u00ecm chu\u1ed7i h\u00e0nh vi kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u00f4ng tin d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, m\u1ed9t danh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ee7: m\u1ecdi thay \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1ec1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9, li\u1ec7u d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t quan tr\u1ecdng c\u00f3 \u0111ang \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n hay kh\u00f4ng v\u00e0 li\u1ec7u c\u00f3 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng n\u00e0o t\u1eeb c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng hay kh\u00f4ng. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1eddi gian th\u1ef1c v\u00e0 t\u00f3m t\u1eaft th\u00f4ng tin do n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng cung c\u1ea5p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 chi ph\u00ed thu th\u1eadp - v\u00ed d\u1ee5: n\u1ed9i dung th\u00f4ng tin c\u1ee7a Wmax Broker t\u00edch h\u1ee3p ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1eddi gian th\u1ef1c v\u00e0 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o v\u1ecb tr\u00ed kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd. Nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt th\u00f4ng tin v\u0129 m\u00f4 trong c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t c\u1ed5ng v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0a k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn v\u00e0o bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c minh.<\/p>\n Ph\u1ea7n k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn<\/strong><\/p>\n Ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7t l\u1ec7nh m\u00e0 l\u00e0 \u201cbi\u1ebft n\u00ean t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec\u201d. L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh logic c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u00e1c bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ea7u cu\u1ed1i ch\u1ecbu tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m li\u00ean t\u1ee5c hi\u1ec3n th\u1ecb c\u00e1c bi\u1ebfn s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y. \u0110\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, l\u00e0m th\u1eb3ng chu\u1ed7i truy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ed9ng, sau \u0111\u00f3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 t\u1eebng \u0111i\u1ec3m ki\u1ec3m tra, \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e1n \u0111o\u00e1n h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb sai l\u1ec7ch b\u1edfi ti\u1ebfng \u1ed3n ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n C\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1ee7i ro: Giao d\u1ecbch kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd v\u00e0 CFD c\u00f3 r\u1ee7i ro cao h\u01a1n. \u0110\u00f2n b\u1ea9y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ra t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 ti\u1ec1n g\u1ed1c. Hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t l\u1ecbch s\u1eed kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai. Vui l\u00f2ng hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 c\u00e1c r\u1ee7i ro li\u00ean quan tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi tham gia th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng hi\u1ebfm khi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch c\u00f4 l\u1eadp. C\u00f3 m\u1ed9t chu\u1ed7i truy\u1ec1n t\u1ea3i t\u1eeb ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ebfn chi ph\u00ed c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c n\u1eafm gi\u1eef v\u00e0ng. S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch logic \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a hai v\u00f2ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ef1c v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9, khi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3, r\u1ee7i ro khu\u1ebfch \u0111\u1ea1i bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng trong c\u00e1c c\u1eeda s\u1ed5 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n nh\u01b0 cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng (CPI), c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng l\u1ecbch kinh t\u1ebf, danh s\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 t\u00f3m t\u1eaft th\u00f4ng tin \u0111\u1ec3 bi\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m tra v\u0129 m\u00f4 th\u00e0nh th\u00f3i quen h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11440,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[122],"tags":[1768,1518,390],"class_list":["post-11439","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tutorial","tag-1768","tag-1518","tag-390"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11439","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11439"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11439\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11441,"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11439\/revisions\/11441"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11440"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11439"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11439"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kpai1.cn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11439"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}