Gold stands firm at $5,100, but historical overbought has intensified the risk of a correction. $5,200-5,300 has become a key resistance area. If it falls below 5,100, it may drop to $4,800. Silver has led the year's gains and is expected to set a record for the longest consecutive monthly rise. The dual attributes of risk aversion and industry combined with a 67 million ounce supply gap have laid a solid foundation for the upward trend. The current fluctuations are normal calibration.