The aftermath of stagflation and policy games—Reconstruction of the pricing logic of major global asset classes
- 2026-07-02
- Posted by: Wmax
- Category: financial news
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Global asset pricing will be restructured in the third quarter of 2026. The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates three times during the year by a total of 75 basis points, with the first rate increase in September. Gold's fluctuation range in the third quarter is 3,800-4,300 US dollars, and the year-end target is 4,800-5,200 US dollars. The geo-premium for crude oil cleared, and Brent pivoted downward to $65. AI computing power and energy transformation are the long-term main themes. It is recommended to have a defensive and balanced allocation to avoid congestion on the pure AI track and increase short-end high-grade fixed-income and high-dividend value stocks.
The ceasefire between Iran and the United States catalyzed the general rise in Asia, and geopolitical uncertainties still set the tone for short-term market fluctuations.
- 2026-04-08
- Posted by: Wmax
- Category: financial news
Iran and the United States reached a two-week ceasefire agreement, and the Strait of Hormuz plans to open in phases. Asian stock markets launched a comprehensive counterattack, with South Korea's Kospi soaring 6.2% and the Nikkei 225 rising more than 5%. Crude oil plunged more than 12%, and gold rose more than 2%. However, the conditionality and fragility of the ceasefire still exist. Pay attention to the four core variables of navigation effectiveness, U.S. Congressional review, geopolitical variables and long-term agreement negotiations. Short-term sentiment recovery is not a fundamental reversal.
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